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SURVEYING THE LANDSCAPE
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Slam Dunks No. 3
Friday, January 27, 2006

By Denny O'Brien

Devils' Kryptonite exposed in loss to Hoyas

©2006 Bonesville.net

Perfection was never an objective according to Mike Krzyzewski. Yeah, and Mercury Morris was an Indianapolis Colts season ticket holder this year.

The moment Duke made the turn undefeated and with its toughest opponents far behind, entering the clubhouse with an unblemished round became a goal.

It had to. Just like it did with Illinois last year.

Until last Saturday's trip to Georgetown.

Now that the Devils have notched a bogey on the scorecard, they can mentally focus on the bigger picture — which is raising a fourth national title banner in Cameron Indoor Stadium.

While it is cliché to term any midseason loss a blessing, it may just be the case for Duke. Not so much because the Blue Devils needed to redirect their focus — Krzyzewski-coached teams rarely do — but because it emphasized potential weaknesses that could abruptly end Duke’s stay in Bracketville:

  • Greg Paulus: The Diaper Dandy has done a splendid job at the point, but his freshman status reared its ugly head against the Hoyas. Even if it was a rare performance, chest passes into the fourth row typically don’t produce national titles — and it takes six solid outings to escape the NCAA gauntlet.
  • Floor generals play the most important role in the NCAA tournament, and it is paramount that Paulus plays stumble-free.
  • Athletic and versatile: That’s the type of team that will give Duke the biggest headache. We saw it with Memphis and Virginia Tech early, and with N.C. State and Georgetown more recently.
  • Teams with athletic big men who can lure Shelden Williams away from the hoop eliminate one of the Devils’ biggest advantages on the defensive end. That’s an issue that is magnified against a team that can beat them off the dribble.
  • McDisappointment: Josh McRoberts’ slow progression has increased the importance of Williams’ avoidance of foul trouble. McRoberts has seen a steady decline in minutes and has looked more like a freshman against ACC competition. Duke doesn’t need double-digit scoring production from the athletic big man, but it will need enough to take some of the pressure off its All-American center.
  • Tweeners: Duke doesn’t have many. And the one that it does have — DeMarcus Nelson — has played only one-third of the season due to injuries. Nelson gives the Devils a versatile player on the wing who can defend several positions. A supersub with Nelson’s skills has always been a part of the championship formula.

That’s a relatively short list compared to 99 percent of the basketball landscape. And the other one percent doesn’t have the nation’s best player — J.J. Redick.
But any combination of the four could send the residents of Krzyzewskiville home early.

Bragging rights

Head-to-head competition can be an overblown factor in determining conference supremacy. Even so, the Big East surely sent a message to the ACC this week.

With Georgetown’s win over Duke and Seton Hall’s trouncing of N.C. State, the Big East showed that it was clearly the deeper, more powerful league this year. That a pair of middle tier teams from the Big East dethroned the ACC’s top two speaks volumes.

So stop with the commissioner speak, Mr. Tranghese.

For the record, Slam Dunks officially predicted in December that anywhere from eight to ten Big East teams would make the Big Dance. Right now, the smart money is riding on ten.

Earning their stripes

Memphis coach John Calipari found the perfect solution to the downgraded schedule in Conference USA. He gave it a facelift with a huge helping of powerhouse non-conference opponents.

The end result could be an RPI good enough to land the Tigers a No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament.

“We did it because of the team we had, one,” Calipari said.

“We did it because we thought we could compete — and I have a long contract," he added. “I would not do that if I were on a one or two-year deal. You just don’t do it. You don’t risk it.

"And what happened was we were maybe a little better than what I thought. Still, we’re not as good as what everybody thinks.”

Maybe not. But if Memphis maintains its current pace, it will be among the favorites in March.

Frightening Four

These four aren’t likely to book trips to Indianapolis, but you don’t want to see them in your bracket come March:

  • UAB… The Blazers’ helter-skelter approach on defense makes them a danger to any higher seed. Barring an all-out collapse, UAB should give C-USA its second entry into the NCAA Tournament field — and perhaps give a No. 1 or No. 2 seed fits in the second round.
  • Air Force… The Falcons are hardly a lock for the Dance, but do have the ability to cut loose if they get there. The Academy’s rendition of the Princeton offense will lull more talented opponents to sleep and keep most games close.
  • Georgetown… See Air Force, but with much more talent. John Thompson III has installed pieces of the offense he ran while at Princeton, but has much better athletes to execute it. Just ask Duke.
  • Xavier… A familiar role for the Musketeers, don’t be surprised if they again play spoiler to someone’s Final Four hopes. Xavier has great balance on the interior and perimeter, and is holding opponents to 37 percent shooting from the field. Brrr!

Too quick with the trigger

Four weeks ago, the Slam Dunks brain trust was targeted with cyber complaints from disgruntled Wisconsin fans for slighting the Badgers up-tempo offense.

Clearly, Slam Dunks spoke too soon. Such statements are far more appropriate now considering the egg the Badgers laid at home against North Dakota State.

(In case you missed it, the Bison won 62-55.)

Hey, don’t fret Badgers Fan. National Signing Day is Wednesday. Just don’t schedule any trips to the Fargodome.

Send an e-mail message to Denny O'Brien.

Click here to dig into Denny O'Brien's Bonesville archives.

02/23/2007 02:02:47 AM

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